Are we heading for a war with Iran?
Although I live in Palestine, my mind is not focused on the conflict between Israel and Palestine. Yes, there was an issue which made headlines: 1.800 Palestinian prisoners were on a hunger strike. Many are still held in administrative detention, this means they are in prison without trial, without knowing why they are held captive! But before this issue got too hot, an agreement between the prisoners and the Israeli authorities has been reached. Settlement activity goes on. The Palestinians do not talk about peace, while their land is taken away - so - peace talks are stalled. The building of the wall and the ongoing cantonization create facts on the ground, which do make a two-state solution impossible. The occupation of Palestine goes on since more than four decades, although dreadful and without hope, it has become kind of a routine.
Where is the focus of my thoughts? I am troubled most by the tensions between Iran and Israel. Iran is ruled totalitarian and as a theocratic system, the people there do not enjoy individual liberties. But the efforts of the West to isolate Iran do have only limited success. While Europe and the US intend to strengthen the sanctions, Iran tries to sell more oil to India and China. Soon the new negotiations between the 5 superpowers plus Germany and Iran will go into their third round in Geneva. If necessary Iran can make some concessions and hope to ease the sanctions that way.
Decisive is in what international climate the conflict between Israel and Iran takes place.
The cruelties in Syria might escalate. The war-like situation could spill over to Lebanon, or Turkey might be drawn into the violence, maybe even the UN decides for a military intervention.
Iran is a powerful regional factor. The apparent injustice of the world economic system makes it easier for the regime to find political alliances in South America or Africa, in China or India. Despite the sanctions Iran finds enough room to survive and to provoke the current world-leaders with the nuclear program. A secret non-declared war already takes place between Israel and Iran. In this direction point several Iranian nuclear scientists who lost their lives in mysterious ways. Two explosions hit last November Iranian atomic facilities. And the recent cyber virus attack “flame” also is most likely caused by Israel. There are detailed plans for larger military attacks together with the USA.
On the 16th of March President Obama signed a new executive order, which will give the President complete authority over all resources in the USA in case of a war or an emergency situation.
But most important the economical system, which has been led by the US for nearly 70 years seems to be disintegrating. After Bretton Woods (1944) this system worked quite well for several decades, but during the last two decades we have seen heavy and growing financial turmoil. The super rich do not know what to do with their money and the poorest of the poor do not have enough to eat. I believe that the main reason for chaos in the financial system is the interest rate. (When I have been discussing this subject another important reason for economical injustice was given to me: the rich pass on their wealth to their heirs.)
China and the other BRICS states (Brazil, Russia, India and South Africa) are not represented democratically in the two ruling financial institutions IMF and world bank. The dept crisis in Europe is getting more and more dramatic. Greece has to elect a new government soon and it seems to be possible that Greece will have to leave the Euro-zone. In Spain and Italy things are similarly dangerous.
Justice is the way to peace. Injustice cannot offer stability. The 99% are not unified, not organized and not able to raise their voice sufficiently – efficient reforms cannot be realized. The sense that we are heading towards a major crisis is growing. In this world wide climate of insecurity, mistrust and escalating economical crisis it is impossible to find diplomatic solutions, neither for the Palestinian/Israeli conflict nor for the looming war between Iran and Israel.
Not long ago we celebrated Pentecost. We should give God the glory. It is not HE, who is responsible for the catastrophic situation of the world, but it is us: it is our egoism, our greed, our hardened hearts, our lacking willingness to share, our incapability to love. So it is time to pray:
“Loving God, may your Holy Spirit guide us through these coming crisis.
Have mercy on us, oh Lord!
Let us not partake in violence and injustice, but rather contribute to peace and justice!!!!
Martin and Christiane